Burden of Salmonellosis, Campylobacteriosis and Listeriosis: A Time Series Analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020

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Burden of Salmonellosis, Campylobacteriosis and Listeriosis: A Time Series Analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020

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Title: Burden of Salmonellosis, Campylobacteriosis and Listeriosis: A Time Series Analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020
Author(s):
de Noordhout, C. Maertens;
Devleesschauwer, B.;
Haagsma, J. A.;
Havelaar, A. H.;
Bertrand, S.;
Vandenberg, O.;
Quoilin, S.;
Brandt, Patrick T.;
Speybroeck, N.
Date Created: 2017-09-21
Item Type: article
Keywords: Show Keywords
Abstract: Salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020; campylobacteriosis case numbers were 633 (SD: 81) and 1,081 (SD: 311); listeriosis case numbers were 5 (SD: 2) in 2012 and 6 (SD: 3) in 2014. After applying correction factors, the estimated DALYs for salmonellosis were 102 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 8-376) in 2012 and predicted to be 82 (95% UI: 6-310) in 2020; campylobacteriosis DALYs were 1,019 (95% UI: 137-3,181) and 1,736 (95% UI: 178-5,874); listeriosis DALYs were 208 (95% UI: 192226) in 2012 and 252 (95% UI: 200-307) in 2014. New actions are needed to reduce the risk of food-borne infection with Campylobacter spp. because campylobacteriosis incidence may almost double through 2020.
Publisher: European Centre for Disease Prevention & Control
ISSN: 1560-7917
Link to Related Resource: http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.38.30615
Persistent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/10735.1/6001
Bibliographic Citation: de Noordhout, C. Maertens, B. Devleesschauwer, J. A. Haagsma, A. H. Havelaar, et al. 2017. "Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis: a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020." Eurosurveillance 22(38), doi:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.38.30615
Terms of Use: CC BY 4.0 (Attribution)
©2017 The Authors

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CC BY 4.0 (Attribution) Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as CC BY 4.0 (Attribution)